Rigavs
Super Nova
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 5/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Riga · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Riga are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Super Nova are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga hold a 40.5-point power-rating edge (83.5 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.0% in the Virsliga, while Riga holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Riga
Probability
85.8%
Model confidence
15.0%
Riga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00