Rigavs
Ogre United
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Riga · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Riga are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ogre United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and riga hold a 57.6-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 25.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely result in the Virsliga, favouring Riga with 17.7% confidence, a 34% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Riga
Probability
94.4%
Model confidence
17.7%
Riga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60