RigavsMetta / LU

Riga are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Metta / LU are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 6.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Metta / LU hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 93.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Cup, while Metta / LU holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.