Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Žilina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Riga are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Žilina are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Žilina hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (49.3 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Žilina holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Žilina
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
8.4%
Žilina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60