RigavsFK Liepaja

Riga are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FK Liepaja are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (83.5 v 47.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.4% in the Virsliga, while Riga holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.