RigavsArarat-Armenia

Riga are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ararat-Armenia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ararat-Armenia hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the UEFA Champions League, while Riga holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.