Riga Marinersvs
Tukums II
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Riga Mariners · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Riga Mariners are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tukums II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and riga Mariners hold a 44.6-point power-rating edge (71.5 v 26.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely result in the 1. Liga, favouring Riga Mariners with 13.8% confidence, a 49% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Riga Mariners
Probability
91.4%
Model confidence
13.8%
Riga Mariners has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00