Riga Marinersvs
Mārupe
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 6/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Riga Mariners · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Riga Mariners are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Mārupe are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga Mariners hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (71.5 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.0% in the 1. Liga, while Riga Mariners holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Riga Mariners
Probability
70.0%
Model confidence
70.0%
Riga Mariners has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 3 · avg 3.80/0.60
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80