GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 5/23/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metta / LU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Riga Mariners are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Metta / LU are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Metta / LU hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (71.5 v 80.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the 1. Liga, while Metta / LU holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metta / LU

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

12.8%

Metta / LU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Riga MarinersWWDWD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Metta / LUWWLWW

GF 19 · GA 3 · avg 3.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Riga MarinersMetta / LU
70.8Attack100.0
68.8Defence70.8
72.9Form85.4
71.5Power80.4
1.32xG1.56
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