GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 7/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Riga FC II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Riga FC II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tukums II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga FC II hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 26.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the 1. Liga, while Riga FC II holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Riga FC II

Probability

63.7%

Model confidence

8.6%

Riga FC II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Riga FC IIWWLLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tukums IILLLDW

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Riga FC IITukums II
47.9Attack43.8
37.5Defence6.3
41.7Form25.0
44.2Power26.9
2.87xG1.46
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