GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 7/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Super Nova 2 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Riga FC II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Super Nova 2 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Super Nova 2 hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the 1. Liga, while Super Nova 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Super Nova 2

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Super Nova 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Riga FC IIWWWLL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Super Nova 2DWLDW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Riga FC IISuper Nova 2
47.9Attack47.9
37.5Defence52.1
41.7Form47.9
44.2Power50.8
1.48xG1.71
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