GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 6/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Riga FC II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Riga FC II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Smiltene are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga FC II hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 26.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.0% in the 1. Liga, while Riga FC II holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Riga FC II

Probability

65.0%

Model confidence

65.0%

Riga FC II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Riga FC IILLLLW

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SmilteneWDLLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Riga FC IISmiltene
47.9Attack39.6
37.5Defence10.4
41.7Form20.8
44.2Power26.5
2.88xG1.32
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