Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ried II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ried II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Grödig are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ried II hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 66.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Regionalliga - North, while Ried II holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ried II
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
10.2%
Ried II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00