Richmond Kickersvs
Sarasota Paradise
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 7/3/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Richmond Kickers are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Sarasota Paradise are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarasota Paradise hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (36.1 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the USL League One, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60