GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 8/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Richmond Kickers · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Richmond Kickers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while NY Cosmos are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Richmond Kickers hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (36.1 v 29.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the USL League One, while Richmond Kickers holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Richmond Kickers

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Richmond Kickers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Richmond KickersWLLLW

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
NY CosmosLLDDW

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Richmond KickersNY Cosmos
31.6Attack33.3
38.6Defence25.9
31.6Form20.4
36.1Power29.9
1.54xG1.10
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