Richmond Kickersvs
Charlotte Independence
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One Cup · 4/25/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Richmond Kickers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Charlotte Independence are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (28.9 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the USL League One Cup, while Charlotte Independence holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charlotte Independence
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60