GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 4/25/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Richmond Kickers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Charlotte Independence are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (28.9 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the USL League One Cup, while Charlotte Independence holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte Independence

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Richmond KickersWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Charlotte IndependenceLLWDL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Richmond KickersCharlotte Independence
25.0Attack53.3
25.0Defence46.7
25.0Form53.3
28.9Power54.1
1.22xG1.78
View match centre →