Rhode Islandvs
Orange County SC
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 7/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rhode Island · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rhode Island are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Orange County SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the USL Championship, while Rhode Island holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rhode Island
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80