GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rhode Island · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rhode Island are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Orange County SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the USL Championship, while Rhode Island holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rhode Island

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rhode IslandWWLWL

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Orange County SCWWDLW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Rhode IslandOrange County SC
52.9Attack50.9
62.7Defence61.4
49.0Form59.6
55.0Power59.6
1.29xG1.06
View match centre →