Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rågsved are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Forward are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (58.5 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Forward holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forward
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Forward has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 14 · avg 2.60/2.80
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60