Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rågsved · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Rågsved are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fittja are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rågsved hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (58.5 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Rågsved holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rågsved
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Rågsved has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40