Rīgas FSvs
Ogre United
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 3/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Rīgas FS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ogre United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 56.3-point power-rating edge (81.2 v 24.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 94.0% in the Virsliga, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 94% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rīgas FS
Probability
94.0%
Model confidence
94.0%
Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00