Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Rīgas FS are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Grobiņa are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 52.9-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rīgas FS
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 6 · avg 3.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80