GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/13/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rīgas FS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Rīgas FS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FK Jablonec are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Jablonec hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (64.9 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rīgas FS

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

13.1%

Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rīgas FSWLDWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FK JablonecWWWWW

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Rīgas FSFK Jablonec
60.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
66.7Form66.7
64.9Power67.2
1.54xG1.23
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