GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 3/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Rīgas FS are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while BFC Daugavpils are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (81.2 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.0% in the Virsliga, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rīgas FS

Probability

73.0%

Model confidence

73.0%

Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rīgas FSWWWWD

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BFC DaugavpilsLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Rīgas FSBFC Daugavpils
82.7Attack42.3
77.3Defence60.3
86.7Form46.2
81.2Power51.0
2.32xG0.58
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