Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Rīgas FS are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Auda are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (81.2 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the Virsliga, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rīgas FS
Probability
65.3%
Model confidence
12.7%
Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00