Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Rīgas FS are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Auda are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (81.2 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the Virsliga, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rīgas FS
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20