GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 4/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Riga Mariners · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Rīgas FS II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Riga Mariners are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga Mariners hold a 44.9-point power-rating edge (26.6 v 71.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.1% in the 1. Liga, while Riga Mariners holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Riga Mariners

Probability

85.1%

Model confidence

85.1%

Riga Mariners has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rīgas FS IILLLDD

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Riga MarinersDWDWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Rīgas FS IIRiga Mariners
45.8Attack70.8
6.3Defence68.8
25.0Form72.9
26.6Power71.5
0.83xG3.91
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