Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Retz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Retz are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Zwettl are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Retz hold a 44.4-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 19.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Retz holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Retz
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Retz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 5 · GA 19 · avg 1.00/3.80