GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/12/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Serra Branca · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Retrô are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Serra Branca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Serra Branca hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Serie D, while Serra Branca holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Serra Branca

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

Serra Branca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RetrôLLLDL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Serra BrancaDLWWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RetrôSerra Branca
43.3Attack40.5
50.0Defence73.8
40.0Form52.4
46.1Power57.4
0.71xG1.14
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