GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Resistencia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Resistencia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tacuary are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Resistencia hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Division Intermedia, while Resistencia holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Resistencia

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Resistencia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ResistenciaWLDLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TacuaryDDDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ResistenciaTacuary
38.9Attack40.7
59.3Defence50.0
46.3Form33.3
50.2Power43.9
1.28xG0.89
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