GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 7/10/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Resistencia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Resistencia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sportivo Carapeguá are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Resistencia hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Division Intermedia, while Resistencia holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Resistencia

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Resistencia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ResistenciaLWLWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sportivo CarapeguáDLLDW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ResistenciaSportivo Carapeguá
38.9Attack40.7
59.3Defence46.3
46.3Form46.3
50.2Power47.1
1.35xG0.90
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