GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Rio · 6/23/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Resende · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Resende are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SE Belford Roxo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Resende hold a 47.2-point power-rating edge (60.5 v 13.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Copa Rio, while Resende holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Resende

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

51.8%

Resende has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ResendeWDLWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SE Belford RoxoLLDWD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ResendeSE Belford Roxo
91.7Attack33.3
58.3Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
60.5Power13.3
1.84xG0.81
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