GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Rio · 7/15/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Resende are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sampaio Corrêa RJ are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sampaio Corrêa RJ hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (60.5 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Copa Rio, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ResendeWWDLW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sampaio Corrêa RJLDLWD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
ResendeSampaio Corrêa RJ
91.7Attack33.3
58.3Defence100.0
50.0Form83.3
60.5Power75.3
1.10xG0.93
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