Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Rentistas are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Colón are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.9 against 51.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20