Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Rentistas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cerrito are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.9 against 52.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60