GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 5/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rentistas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rentistas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while CA River Plate are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Rentistas hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Segunda División, while Rentistas holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rentistas

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Rentistas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RentistasWDDLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
CA River PlateWDWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RentistasCA River Plate
40.4Attack45.6
63.2Defence45.6
49.1Form43.9
52.9Power47.5
1.43xG0.91
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