Rentistasvs
CA River Plate
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 5/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rentistas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rentistas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while CA River Plate are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Rentistas hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Segunda División, while Rentistas holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rentistas
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Rentistas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40