GGOALVIO

Japan · J3 League · 8/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Renofa Yamaguchi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Renofa Yamaguchi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Ryukyu are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Ryukyu hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the J3 League, while Renofa Yamaguchi holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Renofa Yamaguchi

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

14.0%

Renofa Yamaguchi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Renofa YamaguchiLWDLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC RyukyuDDLLD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Renofa YamaguchiFC Ryukyu
0.0Attack37.7
66.7Defence46.5
0.0Form37.7
23.7Power42.8
1.40xG0.98
View match centre →