Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guingamp · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Rennes are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Guingamp are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Guingamp hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 69.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Guingamp holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guingamp
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Guingamp has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60