Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celtic II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Renfrew are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 1.67 scored and 3.33 conceded, while Celtic II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Celtic II hold a 34.3-point power-rating edge (27.8 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Football League - Lowland League, while Celtic II holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Celtic II
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
6.9%
Celtic II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.67/3.33
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20