Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PEPO · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Reipas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while PEPO are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PEPO hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 61.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, while PEPO holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PEPO
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
7.5%
PEPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00