Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reipas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Reipas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while MyPa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Reipas hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Reipas holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Reipas
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Reipas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00