Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reims · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Reims are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Dunkerque are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Reims hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.5% in the Ligue 2, while Reims holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Reims
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
17.5%
Reims has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80