GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 4/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Regar-TadAZ are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Khosilot Farkhor are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Regar-TadAZ hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 67.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Vysshaya Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Regar-TadAZWLDWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Khosilot FarkhorWDWLL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Regar-TadAZKhosilot Farkhor
44.4Attack73.8
80.6Defence61.9
75.0Form66.7
69.4Power67.3
1.10xG1.01
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