Regar-TadAZvs
Khosilot Farkhor
COMPLETEDTajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 4/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Regar-TadAZ are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Khosilot Farkhor are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Regar-TadAZ hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 67.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Vysshaya Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80