GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 4/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Regar-TadAZ · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Regar-TadAZ are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Khatlon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Regar-TadAZ hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Regar-TadAZ holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Regar-TadAZ

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

51.1%

Regar-TadAZ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Regar-TadAZDWWLD

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
KhatlonWDLWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Regar-TadAZKhatlon
44.4Attack47.6
80.6Defence54.8
75.0Form42.9
69.4Power50.2
1.37xG0.62
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