Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Saguntino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Reddis are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Saguntino are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Saguntino hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Saguntino holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Saguntino
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
10.3%
Saguntino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20