GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 8/15/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Red Lions are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Moyale Barracks are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.1 against 50.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 31.0% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

31.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Red LionsDLLWL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Moyale BarracksDWDLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Red LionsMoyale Barracks
27.8Attack33.3
69.4Defence63.9
44.4Form47.2
49.1Power50.6
0.64xG0.56
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