Red Lionsvs
Moyale Barracks
COMPLETEDMalawi · Super League · 8/15/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Red Lions are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Moyale Barracks are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.1 against 50.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 31.0% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
31.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80