Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Red Lions are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Creck are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Lions hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 31.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00