GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 3/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Red Bull Salzburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Red Bull Salzburg are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Bull Salzburg hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (76.5 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Red Bull Salzburg holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Red Bull Salzburg

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

53.9%

Red Bull Salzburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Red Bull SalzburgDLLLD

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
SpVgg Greuther FürthLWWDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Red Bull SalzburgSpVgg Greuther Fürth
100.0Attack90.0
75.0Defence36.7
70.8Form56.7
76.5Power59.0
3.54xG1.60
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