GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/9/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Red Bull Salzburg · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Red Bull Salzburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Metalist 1925 Kharkiv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Bull Salzburg hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (76.5 v 53.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Red Bull Salzburg holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Red Bull Salzburg

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

Red Bull Salzburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Red Bull SalzburgWWLLD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Metalist 1925 KharkivLWWDD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Red Bull SalzburgMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
100.0Attack25.6
75.0Defence76.9
70.8Form51.3
76.5Power53.9
1.66xG0.53
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