GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 4/26/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Antofagasta · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Recoleta are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Antofagasta are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Antofagasta hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Primera B, while Antofagasta holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Antofagasta

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Antofagasta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RecoletaDWLWW

GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AntofagastaWDWDW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RecoletaAntofagasta
46.3Attack56.1
50.0Defence64.9
42.6Form52.6
47.9Power57.8
1.01xG1.58
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