GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Primera División · 5/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aurora · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Real Tomayapo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Aurora are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Aurora hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (30.6 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.3% in the Primera División, while Aurora holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aurora

Probability

67.3%

Model confidence

67.3%

Aurora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real TomayapoWLLDD

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AuroraDWWDD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Real TomayapoAurora
24.4Attack54.8
31.1Defence54.8
26.7Form52.4
30.6Power55.9
0.76xG2.24
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